What will happen during the woolly mammoth de-extinction project by 2050?
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73%
Colossal Biosciences goes out of business without officially canceling the project
59%
Colossal Biosciences announces they are canceling the project
38%
growing an elephant or mammoth fetus in an artificial womb
36%
creation of a functional artificial womb
33%
giving "birth" to a living woolly mammoth
26%
mammoth living to >1 years of age
22%
breeding pair of mammoths
20%
releasing a mammoth into the wild, or a preserve larger than a few acres
Context: Colossal Biosciences wants to de-extinct the woolly mammoth and re-introduce it into the wild. https://colossal.com/mammoth/
My assumption is that all of these achievements would be reported on and easy to verify. But since some of them are prerequisites for others, they could resolve YES without explicit reporting.
I won't bet on this market.
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