China will submit to voluntary caps on compute used in AI training runs by end of 2030
Mini
4
Ṁ3732031
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This questions resolves to yes if China submits to voluntary inspections regimes of their public and private AI facilities in accordance with compute / memory caps imposed by an international AI regulatory body by the end of 2030.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
China will submit to voluntary caps on compute used in AI training runs by end of 2025
4% chance
China will submit to voluntary caps on compute used in AI training runs by end of 2026
7% chance
Will any developed country establish a limit on compute for AI training by 2026?
21% chance
Limits on AI model size by 2026?
15% chance
Will the US ban AI models produced in China in 2025?
12% chance
100GW AI training run before 2031?
37% chance
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2026?
52% chance
10GW AI training run before 2029?
43% chance
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^30 FLOP in China before 2035?
34% chance
Will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
14% chance