https://www.axios.com/2024/11/15/iran-israel-destroyed-active-nuclear-weapons-research-facility

Given that this was at Parchin and not Natanz, I take it this will not resolve the market?

@DanielFox9fff yep exactly, that was a misread from me trying to hedge my losses…

related market https://manifold.markets/Lannuser/will-israel-conduct-a-retaliatory-s?r=QWxleGFuZGVyTGVDYW1wYmVsbA

This market revolved YES

Looking for backup info. Reserve the right to trade this in the meantime

I’m buying more, is that against the rules?

Want to hear the case from the NO folks before I resolve this one way or another

There's no evidence of the resolution critera being met. 🤷‍♂️

How did the other market resolve then?

Its criterion was "military or nuclear facilities". This criterion is specifically "nuclear facilities in Natanz". Is there any indication a nuclear facility was hit?

good point! Leaving it open thanks

prolly will resolve to this one unless something weird happens

https://manifold.markets/SemioticRivalry/will-israel-hit-iranian-nuclear-sit

lets hope 57% is too high.