Why is this so low? Isn't there a tremendous risk associated with everyone carrying around multiple fusion reactors to power their personal devices? Basically everyone has access to enough energy to inflict serious harm. And there is almost no one working on the problem of miniaturized fusion reactor safety!

I think there is a good chance that an accident with a few rubber bands, a liquid lunch, and a particle accelerator will have catastrophic outcomes.

@AlexbGoode are you doing some weird "I'm completely sure AGI is nearly impossible and everybody who thinks otherwise is really stupid" thing?

@CodeandSolder I am very certain that AGI is possible. Are you saying fusion reactors are impossible?

@AlexbGoode If you think the risk is higher, you should bet YES.

If humanity is not around because of an accident involving miniaturized fusion reactors then this market resolves to YES.

Beware counter-party risk: I think if this happens, Alex is likely to scam you out of your winnings.

Do I understand it correctly that this resolves NO in the overwhelmingly likely case miniaturized fusion reactors aren't built in the next 7 years?

@CodeandSolder Not quite, if humanity is wiped out due to different causes then this market will not resolve at all.

@AlexbGoode It wont resolve yes in any case. Literally impossible. At least not by you and not for anyone.