Will NYT write an article about a scandal at CEA before end of 2026?
Plus
12
Ṁ2642027
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if an article appears in the New York Times discussing a scandal or significant malfeasance at Centre for Effective Altruism before end of 2026. This is independent of whether I believe the content of the article to be valid. Else resolves NO.
See also: https://manifold.markets/Amaryllis/will-vox-write-an-article-about-a-s-c10c60e6e5e0
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
Does it have to be a new scandal, or can it be an already existing one that is nonetheless revisited (for instance, there are further updates such as additional lawsuits, resignations, etc.)?
@Meta_C If the NYT writes an article about a scandal at CEA, I will resolve YES, regardless when the scandal in question took place.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Vox write an article about a scandal at CEA before end of 2026?
26% chance
Will Manifold be in the NYT again before the end of 2024?
26% chance
Will NYT write an article about a scandal at 80,000 Hours, before end of 2026?
6% chance
Will Manifold be prominently featured in a NYT article again before the end of 2024?
19% chance
Will I think that CEA has done a significantly bad thing before end of 2026?
36% chance
Will the New York Times win a case against OpenAI/Microsoft before the end of 2025?
56% chance
Will a NYT article containing the word "rationalussy" be published before 2025?
2% chance
Will there be at least one New York Times article on AI every week in 2024?
93% chance
Will the New York Times quit Twitter before the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will the word "gooncave" appear in a NYT article before 2025?
12% chance