Will CEA announce insolvency before the end 2025?
Plus
17
Ṁ12012025
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Jason notes in https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/erYvs4tLwnNCopBxg/cea-serious-incident-report:
"In other words, I don't think the fact of the report itself provides any useful information.
However, it is worth noting that RP [Rethink Priorities] and OP [Open Philanthropy] have released statements characterizing their FTX clawback exposure (or lack thereof for OP). Unless CEA can provide some clarity, I'd assume the worst-case scenario for CEA would be very, very bad.
One would need to see updated financials and a history of all FTX/Alameda contributions to assess whether insolvency could result from the worst-case scenario. Do they have enough unrestricted assets to cover the worst-case outcome?"
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will I think that CEA has done a significantly bad thing before end of 2026?
36% chance
Credit Suisse insolvent or bankrupt before 2025
14% chance
Will there be another EA billionaire by the end of 2024?
89% chance
Will NYT write an article about a scandal at CEA before end of 2026?
37% chance
Will OpenAI declare bankruptcy before the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Manifold Markets declare bankruptcy before 2025?
1% chance
Will Tesla declare bankruptcy by 2034?
26% chance
Will Century Aluminum (CENX) file for bankruptcy before the end of 2028?
63% chance
Will Canoo (EV company) go bankrupt before 2027?
79% chance
Will OpenAI declare Chapter 7 Bankruptcy by the end of 2024?
3% chance