When will a major new policy on prediction markets be released by CFTC?
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Jan 1
2%
Before the end of April 2024
2%
Before the end of May 2024
1.9%
Before the end of Jun 2024
3%
Before the end of July 2024
6%
Before the end of Aug 2024
56%
Before the end of Sep 2024
56%
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56%
Before the end of Dec 2024
59%
Before the end of Jan 2025
59%
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59%
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59%
Before the end of Apr 2025

U.S. CFTC's Behnam Says Agency Writing New Policy on Prediction Markets (coindesk.com)

>>> Companies such as PredictIt and Kalshi would get "regulatory clarity" under rule in coming months, according to the chairman of the derivatives regulator.

I will use my judgement on what counts as major new policy. I would consider allowing any kind of political market on Kalshi a major new policy.

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bought Ṁ100 Before the end of Ju... NO

@AmmonLam Apr-Jul 2024 can resolve No

bought Ṁ50 Before the end of Ju... NO

The comment period generally lasts between 30 and 60 days...The effective date is the date when the public must comply with the new or amended rule; it is generally between 30 and 60 days from the date of publication in the Federal Register. A Final Rule may also provide for delayed or phased-in compliance dates, to allow for a smooth transition to the new or amended rule.

https://www.cftc.gov/LawRegulation/CommissionRulemakingExplained/index.htm