Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2023?
Plus
48
Ṁ79862026
36%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolve according to the "mean" average temperature reported in this webpage
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/temperature-anomaly
resolves to 50% in terms of a tie.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
Berkeley Earth is saying 70% after January, though February has been relatively colder https://berkeleyearth.org/january-2025-temperature-update/
Related questions
Related questions
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2024?
5% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2026 exceed 2025?
58% chance
Will 2025 be the warmest year on record?
3% chance
Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?
46% chance
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
3% chance
will 2030 be hotter than 2023?
77% chance
Will a erage earth temperature increase by more than 2 % by the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will the mean global temperature for every year from 2023 to 2027 be 1.1 to 1.8 degrees above the preindustrial average?
95% chance
Will we (temporarily) cross the 3 degrees celcius of global warming by 2026?
2% chance
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2025, according to Berkeley Earth?
60% chance