If Biden is elected, will there be a government shutdown before the 2026 midterms?
Mini
8
Ṁ274resolved Sep 4
Resolved
N/A1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Joe Biden does not win the 2024 presidential election this market will resolve to N/A. If Joe Biden does win the 2024 presidential election:
This market will resolve to YES if, before November 3rd 2026, there is a government shutdown for any amount of time. A government shutdown is defined as a failure to pass legislation funding the federal government that results in federal employees being furloughed.
This market will resolve to NO otherwise
Note: if this market is featured on the Manifold Politics page the @ManifoldPolitics account may make edits, issue clarifications, and decide the resolution in ambiguous cases.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2024?
2% chance
If Trump is elected, will there be a government shutdown before the 2026 midterms?
36% chance
Will there be a government shutdown before March 2025?
30% chance
Will there be a US government shutdown in 2024?
3% chance
Will there be a Government Shutdown in 2024?
3% chance
If democrats win the House of Representatives will there be a government shutdown by the end of 2026
37% chance
Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will there be at least one US federal government shutdown in 2024?
2% chance
Will the US Government shutdown before 2025?
3% chance