Which company has best AI model end of May? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
244
Ṁ160k
Jun 1
88%
Google
4%
Anthropic
4%
xAI
4%
OpenAI
1%
DeepSeek

Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category without filters (without style control or show deprecated), at the end of May 31, 2025 11:59PM ET.

See also:
/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end (resolved)
/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-I0QsydsZuz (resolved)

/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model
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/Bayesian/who-will-have-the-best-texttovideo-AtZ0CdIc8Z

/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-computer

/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-vision-ai-en

/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-search-ai-mo

#AI
#Technical AI Timelines
#OpenAI
#AI Impacts
#ChatGPT
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Ṁ1,000
and
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9 Comments
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boughtṀ250Anthropic YES

@mattparlmer do you wanna bet more? Like 10x :p

boughtṀ500Anthropic YES

@brod Do u wanna bet more? Like 10x

opened a Ṁ3,000 Anthropic YES at 8% order

@Bayesian ok order up at 8%

opened a Ṁ25,000 Anthropic NO at 8% order

ggs

boughtṀ25OpenAI YES

@HenriThunberg do you want to bet more? i'll buy lots of no on openai at 8%

opened a Ṁ10,000 Google YES at 85% order

i welcome counterparties

bought Ṁ5 DeepSeek NO

If not Deepseek then I win the bet, if Deepseek then I also win.

bought Ṁ10 DeepSeek YES

deepseek r2 could be a surprise here. should be >6%

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