Will a video game involving LLM dialogue be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2028?
Plus
28
Ṁ12402029
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if some video-game that makes use of LLM dialogue gets into the top 10 in the List of best-selling video games, according to Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_video_games. Must be top 10 at any time before market close (EOY 2028).
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ100 NO
None of the current top 10 on that list were released in the last six years (the most recent is Red Dead Redemption 2 from 2018). I might bet against any new game making the top 10 by EOY 2028, let alone one with a specific speculative feature.
Related questions
Related questions
Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2024?
7% chance
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2027?
70% chance
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026?
60% chance
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2025?
31% chance
Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2025?
37% chance
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2028?
79% chance
Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?
50% chance
Will there be a game that relies heavily on using LLMs during gameplay that would break 1 million sales before 2025?
13% chance
What video game will have the highest score of 2024 on OpenCritic?
Which PC games will make it into Metacritic's 2024 end of year top ten?