Will HOC beat the big AI labs to AGI?
15
Ṁ7865
2030
8%
chance

HOC is HigherOrderCO, see https://higherorderco.com. Context:

Resolution criteria:

If HOC builds the first AGI as determined a panel of 3 manifold mods without a position on this market, the market resolves YES. Resolves NO otherwise.

The market close date will be extended until an AGI is achieved.

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Conditional on no one else achieving AGI first, will HOC build an AGI by September 8 2028?

@jim I started off writingg that for the market but i lkke this version’s properties better