Will Lula's 3rd term in Brazil have above-average (>75%) congressional support?
➕
Plus
14
Ṁ1168
2027
51%
chance

Considering the latest account of support in Brazilian Chamber of Deputies according to Estadão's "Basômetro" when presidential term comes to an end - either on January 1st, 2027, as the electoral calendar dictates; or before, if there is an impeachment, resignation etc.

The historical average to be considered is the one stated by the same source when this market was created - i.e., 75%. Resolves as YES if the average congressional support considering the full term is above that, or NO otherwise.

#️ Politics
#Brazil
#LatAm & Caribbean
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
5 Comments
Sort by:

Related market: https://manifold.markets/BernardoChrispimBaron/will-partido-progressista-have-at-l?r=QmVybmFyZG9DaHJpc3BpbUJhcm9u

Will Partido Progressista have at least two ministerial positions in Brazilian government on March 31st, 2026?
43% chance. If Partido Progressista changes its name, resolves according to its successor’s ministerial positions on the closing date. If it splits into two or more parties, the successor party is considered to be the party that inherits ≥60% of Partido Progressista’s seats in the Brazilian Chamber…

Related market:
https://manifold.markets/BernardoChrispimBaron/will-uniao-brasil-have-at-least-two

Will União Brasil have at least two ministerial positions in Brazilian government on March 31st, 2026?
59% chance. If União Brasil party changes its name, resolves according to its successor’s ministerial positions on the closing date. If it splits into two or more parties, the successor party is considered to be the party that inherits ≥60% of União Brasil’s seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputie…

Related market:
https://manifold.markets/BernardoChrispimBaron/will-republicanos-have-at-least-two

Will Republicanos have at least two ministerial positions in Brazilian government on March 31st, 2026?
36% chance. If Republicanos party changes its name, resolves according to its successor’s ministerial positions on the closing date. If it splits into two or more parties, the successor party is considered to be the party that inherits ≥60% of Republicanos’ seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies…

https://www.nexojornal.com.br/grafico/2023/05/22/Quais-os-partidos-mais-alinhados-a-Lula-na-C%C3%A2mara-dos-Deputados

Quais os partidos mais alinhados a Lula na Câmara dos Deputados
Presidente já sofreu derrotas em plenário, como derrubada de decretos do marco do saneamento e adiamento da análise do PL das Fake News. Saiba como votam aliados eleitorais e aliados com ministério

Will Lula's 3rd term in Brazil have above-average (>75%) congressional support?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

Related questions

Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules