Resolves to YES in 2030 with 5% chance | Manifold

Resolves to YES in 2030 with 5% chance

Mini

8

Ṁ428

2030

6%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Once it is 2030, I will generate a uniformly random integer in [1,100] and this resolves YES if that number <= 5, else resolves NO.

#Interest Rates

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Related questions

This market resolves NO in a year.

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This market resolves NO in a year.

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This market resolves NO in a year.

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Will any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?

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Resolves yes in year 4000

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