Who will replace Mahmoud Abbas as President?
Who will replace Mahmoud Abbas as President?
Plus
14
Ṁ4002030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
18%
Marwan Barghouti
5%
No one
7%
Mohammed Dahlan
6%
Mohammad Shtayyeh
9%
Hussein Al-Sheikh
55%
Resolves to the next president of the state of Palestine.
If the next president is designated as temporary, the market will not resolve to them unless they're president for over 1 year.
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bought Ṁ50 Marwan Barghouti NO9mo
Barghouti is serving five life sentences for various murders he was directly involved in (not to mention dozens of other attacks he organized but got off on since there wasn't direct evidence linking him to those specific attacks). I don't see him getting out, especially after what happened when Israel released Sinwar in the Shalit deal.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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