How many successful SpaceX launches in October 2025 UTC
9
Ṁ11k
Oct 30
0.8%
12 or less
0.9%
13
3%
14
14%
15
80%
16
0.9%
17
0.7%
18 or more

Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page.
https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/past/?search=SpaceX
in September UTC.


If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.

A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.


Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.

(Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated. However, it wasn't having much success this year until recently.)

November 20225 market

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1 successfully done in first 3 days of October
8 more with planned dates by Oct 15

That is a fast pace, includes a starship launch, and there is scope for delays - tight turnaround times and drone ships currently cooped up in port re ex Hurricane Imelda and unclear how soon they will be able to leave.

Edit: ASOG seems to have left port 2025-10-04 07:34 (UTC-4) quite early for Starlink 10-59 on 7th Oct

sold Ṁ8 15 YES

3 successfully done in first 8 days of October
9 more with planned dates by Oct 22 (includes a starship)

5 successfully done in first 14 days of October
8 more with planned dates by Oct 25 but that is very tightly packed and there could be delays that have occurred but not yet been fully adjusted for on that schedule.

7 successfully done in first 16 days of October
6 more with planned dates by Oct 25 but that seems too tightly packed and there likely have been delays that have not yet been fully reflected in the later dates on that schedule.

9 successfully done in first 19 days of October
6 more with planned dates by Oct 28 maybe still too tightly packed?

11 successfully done in first 24 days of October
5 more with planned dates by Oct 30 little in the way of delays to tightly packed schedule so far but will that continue or might Tropical Storm Melisa become a hurricane and get close enough to affect drone ship recoveries?

November 2025 market