How many SpaceX Starship launches will there be in 2025?
Mini
18
Ṁ1848
2026
97%
3 or more
93%
4 or more
89%
5 or more
87%
6 or more
49%
7 or more
41%
8 or more
40%
15 or more
40%
10 or more
40%
9 or more
20%
20 or more
Resolved
YES
2 or more

All markets that are true will resolve YES as they occur. I can add additional markets if most of the markets are resolved with much of the year left.

For 2024 see https://manifold.markets/wilsonkime/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-w-01827009d557

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:

@wilsonkime 2 or more can resolve.

bought Ṁ10 9 or more YES

File under "betting against Elon"

Adding more options since 5 or more is already at 76%

opened a Ṁ100 7 or more YES at 60% order

@wilsonkime ...keep adding lol