Which current ninth generation console will have the most sells by 2026?

I don't think nintendo should be counted among them as the Switch is not a "9th gen console." It's an 8th gen console that's just been sticking around. It isn't an actual 9th gen.

PlayStation seems to be pretty far ahead at the moment compared to Xbox, likely due to their exclusives library. With only a few years left in the 9th generation, I don't really see Nintendo pulling any moves big enough to shake that market substantially

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What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

How do I win cash prizes?

Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.

All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.

Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.

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