Will George R.R. Martin finish Winds of Winter by the end of 2024?
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Any announcement by Martin that the book is finished will qualify as a "yes". Does not need to have a publication date.
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If you're interested enough to bet on this market, you would probably also like to read his most recent blog post. It basically just plainly states the issues he's been dealing with this year:
https://georgerrmartin.com/notablog/2024/09/09/a-belated-blog/
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