Resolution criteria
This market resolves to the country that is widely considered to have "won" the AI race by the end of 2030. Resolution will be based on expert consensus from leading AI researchers, international organizations, and technology analysts regarding which country has achieved clear leadership in artificial intelligence development, implementation, and strategic advantage.
If no single country has established a clear lead by the end of 2030, or if expert opinion is significantly divided with no consensus, the market will resolve to "No one."
1,000
1.00@Haiku I'm not sure what you mean. The intention of the market was to predict which country will come out on top of the geopolitical race. Do you have in mind a future where the runaway AI isn't aligned with any country? In that cases I'd resolve no one.