The USA loses an aircraft carrier anytime til EOY 2028
Plus
10
Ṁ3282029
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Due to any enemy action, it has to sink, be destroyed or inoperable. Hacking type attacks count if the ship is abandoned and can't be piloted.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
@RemNi "before 2029" is maybe a bit clearer to most readers? I think to non native English speakers the latter is less ambiguous.
Related questions
Related questions
The USA loses an aircraft carrier through 2024
3% chance
The USA loses an aircraft carrier through 2030
19% chance
The USA loses an aircraft carrier through 2026
5% chance
Will any aircraft carrier be lost at sea before 2036?
41% chance
[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?
27% chance
Will an F-35 be lost by the US in 2025
57% chance
[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?
34% chance
Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?
16% chance
Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?
58% chance
Will China have 4 aircraft carriers by the end of 2027?
75% chance