Same terms as this market, except for the higher number and that it's a total across all detonations:
/EvanDaniel/will-a-nuclear-weapon-cause-over-10-5cce410c931a

Including tests, accidental detonations, etc.

Using the same definitions as this market:

• The fatality must be caused by the immediate effects of the detonation, so a fatality caused by things like fallout, rioting, or climate effects will not count towards a positive resolution.

• Any detonation of a nuclear weapon, whether test or non-test, deliberate or inadvertent or accidental, would count towards question resolution.

• Detonation here means nuclear explosion. If a conventional explosion occurs but no nuclear explosion (for example, a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material with a conventional explosion), that does not count. If a nuclear weapon were launched but the nuclear weapon did not detonate, that would not count as detonation.