Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA by 2030? | Manifold

Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA by 2030?

Plus

44

Ṁ4090

2030

67%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves Yes if the FDA approves an HIV vaccine for general use by the end of 2030.

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1,000

and

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Is there a promising vaccine in development or scientific breakthrough that makes this likely? (asking about the current high chance)

Related questions

Will a vaccine for HIV be a available in the US or Europe by 2030?

-3% 1d48% chance

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[Metaculus] Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Related questions

Will a vaccine for HIV be a available in the US or Europe by 2030?

Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA and be available for public use by 2027?

HIV Vaccine fully approved by FDA and commercially available before 2035?

Will HIV/AIDS be considered a "curable" disease by the end of 2030?

Will there be an FDA approved cure for AIDS/HIV by EOY 2032?

The FDA will approve an AI developed cure before the end of the decade (<2030) for a previously incurable major illness.

Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?

Will AOH1996 be FDA approved before 2040?

Will the WHO declare an H5N1 pandemic before 2030?

[Metaculus] Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

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