Will a vaccine for HIV be a available in the US or Europe by 2030?
Plus
43
Ṁ83812030
48%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
One promising candidate: https://www.cell.com/cell/fulltext/S0092-8674(24)00459-8
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
bought Ṁ20 NO
I think people are drawing too much on their experience watching the COVID vaccines get rolled out. AIDS hasn't been an epidemic for decades, and so there isn't a much of a reason to assume an accelerated testing and rollout process
Related questions
Related questions
Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA by 2030?
67% chance
Will HIV/AIDS be considered a "curable" disease by the end of 2030?
30% chance
Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA and be available for public use by 2027?
28% chance
HIV Vaccine fully approved by FDA and commercially available before 2035?
37% chance
[Metaculus] Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?
75% chance
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
50% chance
Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be available by the end of 2032?
72% chance
Will there be an FDA approved cure for AIDS/HIV by EOY 2032?
55% chance
Will HIV be eradicated in humans before 2030?
13% chance
By 2030, will there be a cure to aging?
12% chance