Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032? | Manifold

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?

Plus

70

Ṁ56k

2032

91%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

#Technical AI Timelines

#IMO Grand Challenge

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Sort by:

predicts YES

https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/alphageometry-an-olympiad-level-ai-system-for-geometry/

this is way too high

predicts NO

just checking: it is intentional that this is until the start of 2032, while all other IMO markets are until the end of the year they mention?

Related questions

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?

+4% 1d93% chance

Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration like o3) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?

-3% 1d30% chance

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?

When will an AI win the $5 million XTX AI Mathematical Olympiad Prize?

Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad before 2027?

-4% 1d85% chance

What years will AI win IMO bronze (or higher)?

Will an AI get gold on this Olympiad by the end of 2025?

Will an AI get at least silver on International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by end of 2025?

Related questions

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?

Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad before 2027?

Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration like o3) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?

What years will AI win IMO bronze (or higher)?

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?

Will an AI get gold on this Olympiad by the end of 2025?

When will an AI win the $5 million XTX AI Mathematical Olympiad Prize?

Will an AI get at least silver on International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by end of 2025?

Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules