What will Trump do in his second term? (if he wins)
➕
Plus
80
Ṁ7110
Dec 31
93%
Withdraw from the Paris Agreement
92%
Fire Jack Smith and/or otherwise end the Jack Smith prosecutions via the DOJ
78%
Pressure Ukraine to give land to Russia for peace
65%
Accidentally reveal classified Intel to the public
62%
Increase US oil production
60%
Significantly reduce immigration from Mexico
59%
Increase aid to Israel
49%
Meet Kim Jong Un
45%
General pardon for any crimes he's convicted of
44%
Pardon himself for Jan 6th
43%
Largest deportation in history
42%
Prosecute people for what he calls election fraud
33%
Make America Great Again
31%
Get impeached a third time
27%
Ban TikTok
25%
Keep up or increase America's current level of support for Ukraine (even if he seeks compensation from third parties)
20%
Give not one cent to Kyiv
18%
Start a war
17%
Deport a billionaire philanthropist
15%
End American democracy as we know it

If Donald Trump wins in November, what will he do as president?

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bought Ṁ20 Prosecute people for... YES

Why does this market end before his next term starts?

bought Ṁ50 Increase aid to Israel YES

Wait, these all resolve to N/A if he doesn't get in, right? It doesn't explicitly say that.

(if he wins)

End American democracy as we know it

What counts as "as we know it"?

I guess if you showed it to a counterfactual American from a decade ago or so and he would throw his hands up in horror its a YES

Pardon himself for Jan 6th
bought Ṁ10 Pardon himself for J... YES

Including failed attempts at self-pardon? Self-pardon is generally agreed to be impossible.

@Snarflak What about taking the day off so VP can pardon him?

@Snarflak He can do whatever he wants unless the Supreme Court stops him. Is he supposed to or not, that’s a different question.

Make America Great Again

...how on EARTH would this one resolve. It might make sense to N/A this one.

@PaintspotInfez resolves YES if USA reaches Moon before China

@jim Exactly what I had in mind, thought it was clear, sorry.

bought Ṁ1 Make America Great A... NO

@jim USA already reached the Moon before China

They do the Moon Race every century

@PaintspotInfez Yeah can't resolve cause the US never stopped being great. Would it have to stop being great first and then become great again later?

reposted

Cool market!