What will Trump do in his second term? (if he wins)
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Plus
92
Ṁ9134
2028
95%
Accidentally reveal classified Intel to the public
92%
Fire Jack Smith and/or otherwise end the Jack Smith prosecutions via the DOJ
90%
Significantly reduce immigration from Mexico
87%
Withdraw from the Paris Agreement
83%
Pressure Ukraine to give land to Russia for peace
62%
Increase US oil production
59%
Increase aid to Israel
49%
Meet Kim Jong Un
45%
General pardon for any crimes he's convicted of
44%
Largest deportation in history
33%
Pardon himself for Jan 6th
33%
Make America Great Again
31%
Start a war
30%
Get impeached a third time
29%
Prosecute people for what he calls election fraud
27%
Ban TikTok
20%
Keep up or increase America's current level of support for Ukraine (even if he seeks compensation from third parties)
18%
Increase taxes
15%
End American democracy as we know it
15%
Improve public healthcare

If Donald Trump wins in November, what will he do as president?

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Accidentally reveal classified Intel to the public
bought Ṁ250 Accidentally reveal ... YES

@Yoae this should resolve to yes

bought Ṁ20 Prosecute people for... YES

Why does this market end before his next term starts?

bought Ṁ50 Increase aid to Israel YES

Wait, these all resolve to N/A if he doesn't get in, right? It doesn't explicitly say that.

(if he wins)

End American democracy as we know it

What counts as "as we know it"?

I guess if you showed it to a counterfactual American from a decade ago or so and he would throw his hands up in horror its a YES

Pardon himself for Jan 6th
bought Ṁ10 Pardon himself for J... YES

Including failed attempts at self-pardon? Self-pardon is generally agreed to be impossible.

@Snarflak What about taking the day off so VP can pardon him?

@Snarflak He can do whatever he wants unless the Supreme Court stops him. Is he supposed to or not, that’s a different question.

Make America Great Again

...how on EARTH would this one resolve. It might make sense to N/A this one.

@PaintspotInfez resolves YES if USA reaches Moon before China

@jim Exactly what I had in mind, thought it was clear, sorry.

bought Ṁ1 Make America Great A... NO

@jim USA already reached the Moon before China

They do the Moon Race every century

@PaintspotInfez Yeah can't resolve cause the US never stopped being great. Would it have to stop being great first and then become great again later?

reposted

Cool market!