Will the US be at war with Russia at any point until 2040?
Mini
3
แน202040
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There needs to be armed conflict, so stuff like cold war doesn't count.
US providing weapons to Ukraine (or any other country) but not operating them through its military also doesn't count.
In case of doubt, I'll ask random people within my social circle (not Americans and not Manifold users) whether the US is at war with Russia.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US be at war with Russia at any point until 2030?
13% chance
Will The US be at at war with another country by the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?
60% chance
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
47% chance
Will the United States be directly involved in a war by the end of 2028?
59% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2024?
1% chance
Will any NATO country engage in military conflict with Russia in 2024?
14% chance
Will there be WW3 before 2045?
32% chance
Will Russia have a civil war by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will the U.S. impose more sanctions on Russia in 2024?
86% chance