Will Russia be invaded by foreign troops (other than Ukrainian, >10000) before 2060?
Plus
3
Ṁ11232060
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if any foreign enemy troops enter internationally recognized 1991 Russia borders with the goal to take control of some Russian territory. The troops count should be adequate to the goal stated, with >10000 combatants.
Resolves NO in 2060.
This is a narrower version of https://manifold.markets/JuJumper/will-russia-be-invaded-by-foreign-t.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
47% chance
Will Russia be invaded by foreign troops [>10000] before 2060?
99% chance
Will the Russian invasion be over by 2025?
6% chance
Will Mongolia be invaded by Russia or China before 2050?
29% chance
Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?
60% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2030?
14% chance
Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?
14% chance
Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028?
17% chance
Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?
21% chance
Will any part of pre-2014 Russia territory become an internationally recognized independent state by the end of 2040?
49% chance