What does this mean? "They are already so with the Donetsk, Luhansk, and Crimean Republics regardless". This sounds like you're spreading Russian propaganda – these are Ukrainian territories occupied by Russia and it's weird that you're recognising them as Russian.

@Lorelai I think I've been misunderstood - I personally specifically do not recognize them as anything other than rightfully part of Ukraine, but I'm pointing out that even if you disagree with that, they're still disqualified and you can still bet anyway.

What if the current war ends and Ukraine invades e.g. Donetsk a few years later?

@lukres I'd say it doesn't count for two reasons - first, the market is about additional declarations, not renewed fighting with respect to an existing frozen conflict, and second, I would consider those specific cases not to count given existing Ukrainian claims. This market is specifically about whether Ukraine will use a slightly unorthdox tactic to marginally widen the war with Russia.