Will there be more than 10GW of off-earth solar power generation by 2050?
Mini
9
Ṁ1312050
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This would be for an average, not peak, so after accounting for intermittency. Credible estimates will be accepted as source to resolve YES. Solar power does not have to be beamed back, power is counted after conversion to electricity, but before use
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will the global consumption of renewable energy increase by at least 10% in 2024?
58% chance
Will global photovoltaic installations grow from 510 GW in 2023 to 8713 GW in 2030?
Will Earth have space-based solar power at scale by 2060?
26% chance
Will there be more than 1GW of in-space solar power generation by 2030?
16% chance
Will there be a functional space-based solar power plant before 2045?
42% chance
[Metaculus] Will solar power on Earth dominate renewable energy consumption before 2031?
75% chance
Will over 1000 people live permanently outside Earth's atmosphere by 2050?
43% chance
Will solar become the primary source of electricity in the US before 2040?
73% chance
When will the worlds share of solar electricity reach 10% ?
Will a massive solar storm occur before 2050?
45% chance