By the end of 2050, will it be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations? | Manifold

By the end of 2050, will it be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations?

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By 2050, it will [] be possible to increase a healthy adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations in less than 30 days.

One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.

Resolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions. (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)

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Does it require the treatment being worth >=2 std on 100% of people who haven't had it? Or would increasing any adult's IQ by that much count?

What about treatments that work on 10% of the population? And 1%

See also the negated version of this question:

(It's the exact same question, I'm just curious which title phrasing gets more interest.)

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Related questions

By the end of 2050, it will not be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations

Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?

Is there a genetic contribution of at least 50% to the black/white IQ gap in 2023? [Resolves to the popular consensus in 2060]

By 2025, will most well-educated people expect AI to within 10 years be better at intellectual work than 99% of humans?

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?

When will there be a confirmation* of an adult human, whose IQ score was improved by 15 by gene-editing?

Will there be an affordable non-invasive way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 25+ points before 2030?

Will there be an affordable non-invasive way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 50+ points before 2030?

Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?

Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 25+ points with under $200k before 2030?

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