Will Manifold bring back calibration before 2026?
8
Ṁ163Dec 31
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It doesn't have to be the exact same format, but it should be a measure of a user's prediction accuracy.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
@JeromeHPowell there's some discussion about it here: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-calibration-come-back-to-manif
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold bring back calibration before LLMs are smart enough to provide a better calibration graph?
38% chance
Will Manifold's calibration be better at the end of 2027?
New Manifold features launched before 2026
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2025?
5% chance
If Manifold brings back calibration, will it be the Rank system?
29% chance
Will Manifold have automated resolutions before 2027?
71% chance
Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?
87% chance
Will Manifold still be around in 2035? (resolves N/A at the end of 2026)
51% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2040?
67% chance
Will Manifold still be running at the end of 2027?
86% chance