Will Manifold's calibration be better at the end of 2027? | Manifold

Will Manifold's calibration be better at the end of 2027?

Mini

9

Ṁ219

2028

1D

1W

1M

ALL

76%

Better

13%

The same

11%

Worse

I'll be referencing this

https://manifold.markets/calibration

Starting Brier score: 0.16781

To resolve as "better" or "worse" it should vary by more than 0.01

#Meta-Forecasting

#Predictions on Predictions

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