Will Manifold's calibration be better at the end of 2027? | Manifold

Will Manifold's calibration be better at the end of 2027?

Mini

12

Ṁ1009

2028

1D

1W

1M

ALL

42%

Better

35%

The same

22%

Worse

I'll be referencing this

https://manifold.markets/calibration

Starting Brier score: 0.16781

To resolve as "better" or "worse" it should vary by more than 0.01

#Meta-Forecasting

#Predictions on Predictions

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Futarchists, hold NO on Worse if you believe Manifold will continue to grow its user base.

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