Will the Kalshi superconductor market resolve yes?
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5%
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This market resolves the same as the end-of-2024 one here: https://kalshi.com/markets/supercon/roomtemp-superconductor-reported#supercon
For resolution criteria, see this document.
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8% might be too low:
This market is currently at 8%: https://manifold.markets/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre
The Kalshi market doesn't require ambient pressure
The Kalshi market includes materials other than LK-99
Though maybe the Manifold LK-99 market is still overpriced at 8% …
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