How much enhanced geothermal power capacity, in gigawatts, will be commercially deployed (sending power to the grid and/or end user) in the US as of January 1, 2030?
"Enhanced geothermal" (aka advanced geothermal) means geothermal power from heat sources that are not near the surface and that are not accessible using traditional methods. I'll use self-descriptions and standard industry terminology as of 2030 to decide what counts as enhanced geothermal. I think it will be relatively clear what counts.
For context, the DoE estimates that enhanced geothermal could provide 90 GW of power in the US by 2050. Fervo is developing a 400 MW geothermal plant in Utah, and Sage plans to provide Meta with 150 MW of geothermal by 2027. The Institute for Progress recently argued that enhanced geothermal could play an important role in scaling up AI data centers.
The US currently has 4 GW of (non-enhanced) geothermal capacity, generating around 0.4% of US electricity.
1,000
1.00Is this how much under construction or how much actually connected to the grid and producing megawatts?
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