Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
115
Ṁ70k
2026
73%
Other
5%
Donald Trump and/or JD Vance
3%
Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including 'ChatGPT', 'Gemini', etc)
3%
Xi Jinping
2%
Vladimir Putin
1.8%
Zohran Mamdani
1.3%
Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)
1.3%
Self Driving Cars (Including 'Waymo', 'Uber', etc)
1.2%
Gavin Newsom
1.1%
Sundar Pichai
1%
Kevin Hassett

This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of The Year. It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers.

If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%.

In ambiguous cases, I will try to match the resolution of the market to who Wikipedia lists in their TIME Person of The Year article.

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Could we get some kind of aggregated "[Children / Babies / Birthgivers / anything TFR-related]"?

@bens idk if there's a way to cleanly operationalize this. Definitely distinct from Gen Alpha though.

@bens on second thought this is probably too messy

Suggestion to add: Immigrants (Including "The Migrant", "Deportees", etc)

Self Driving Cars (Including 'Waymo', 'Uber', etc)
bought Ṁ1 Self Driving Cars (I... YES

@Joshua How would this market resolve if the winner was Elon Musk and Teslas Full self driving feature

@NzJack0n My first guess is that'd be 50% Elon, 50% Self Driving Cars

@Joshua 👍 I think of waymo and Uber as not making their own cars, so wondered if a car manufacturer would count as yes in that list. Thanks

bought Ṁ1 Volodymyr Zelenskyy YES

I want to add the new FOMC Chair but I think I should wait until they are confirmed in case something really weird happens

sold Ṁ3 Volodymyr Zelenskyy YES

@Joshua could always do [The new FOMC chair] like we did with the new pope

bought Ṁ5 Answer #C6p0htuggh YES

@Marnix ...what if he names someone already on the list

filled a Ṁ11 Vladimir Putin YES at 13% order

ah shit yeah that's a fair point

bought Ṁ10 Answer #Q6N282t9Zh YES

@Joshua maybe just add kevin hassett?

@brod Done

opened a Ṁ250 Answer #PLLlcA9PuS YES at 1.0% order

Suggestion: robot(s) (not including self driving cars), maybe humanoid robots

Suggestion: clarify to what extent you'll resolve on who is spotlighted versus the named POTY

opened a Ṁ5,000 Artificial Intellige... YES at 2% order

order up

bought Ṁ10 Vladimir Putin YES

Can we have Nicolas Maduro added?

@JeromeHPowell If there are big letters “AI,” meaning an AI that is building itself using humans: what does that imply? T

here are models that can self-code and redesign themselves.

Please explain: if the “Person of the Year” were an AI, and the picture on the cover of Time magazine represented what that AI can do, would the credit go to the AI?

Arb to this market here (has more volume/liquidity)

here

Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including 'ChatGPT', 'Gemini', etc)

Guys if AI is gonna win this year there's almost no chance they'll give it again next year. Please bet this down so I can sell and pay back my debt. Thanks.