The incursion should be into a different oblast from Kursk. It should last for at least seven days. and should involve Ukrainian forces (not Russian paramilitaries fighting for Ukraine).
I will not introduce specific area requirements; I will just say that the general tenor of reporting should be similar to the Kursk incursion, rather than previous cross-border raids.
I will not bet.
1,000
1.00
If Ukrainian forces will still hold this area Tuesday morning, this should resolve to YES. Source: NZZ https://www.nzz.ch/english/ukraine-war-interactive-map-of-the-current-front-line-ld.1688087
@JanTozicka I’m having trouble finding conclusive news coverage re: Ukrainian incursion in Belgorod—Newsweek says someone X’d a map of an incursion, Moscow Times says Russian Governor denies incursion, and that’s about it—so I’m feeling like the resolution is still ambiguous (else I’d bet it up).
(Also, the area in question seems like it might be small compared to the Kursk incursion, with this map for comparison—but I am not up to speed on the present conflict.)
@TannerNewell Yes, there is not much information about it, we can wait for the confirmation. Nevertheless the area size should not be considered since it was excluded in the description. If confirmed, this will be more similar to the Kursk incursion (even if at much smaller scare) than to the previous cross-border raids as required.