Conditional on Tumblr implementing support for following from ActivityPub, will they inject ads into the feed by EoY 2025?
Mini
8
Ṁ2132025
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Tumblr recently indicated they will be implementing ActivityPub support. It is unclear what timeline or subset of features
Therefore this is part of a series of markets
This market resolves to N/A if I am not able to, without going through a 3rd party bridge, follow a Tumblr account from my Mastodon account. It otherwise resolves YES if even a single ad is intentionally injected, and NO if not
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Tumblr still exist by end of 2024?
96% chance
Will tumblr re-tighten its restrictions on porn in 2024?
12% chance
Will Tumblr support following from ActivityPub accounts by EoY 2025
19% chance
Will Tumblr support following external ActivityPub accounts by EoY 2025
20% chance
Will Threads roll out ActivityPub Support by end of 2024
59% chance
Will Substack launch an ad network in 2024?
41% chance
Will twitter be subject to regulatory action or penalties for blocking Substack before 2025?
22% chance
What percentage of Twitter ads served to me will be porn-adjacent in December 2024?
Will Manifold implement ActivityPub by the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will Tumblr still exist by end of 2027?
71% chance