If the DoD, DoE, the WH, or the POTUS say they are going to use force to defend Guyana's territorial integrity by 2024 year end, this market resolves to YES.
I won't bet.
1,000
1.00Does what happened a day ago count?
"The Secretary reiterated the United States’ call for a peaceful resolution to the dispute and for all parties to respect the 1899 arbitral award determining the land boundary between Venezuela and Guyana"
https://www.state.gov/secretary-blinkens-call-with-guyanese-president-ali/
"The U.S. State Department earlier this week said it thinks the Venezuela-Guyana border dispute cannot be settled through a referendum.
The United States has also said it would conduct flight operations within Guyana"
https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/us-expresses-support-guyanas-sovereignty-amid-border-tensions-with-venezuela-2023-12-07/
I don't think USA is going to say any more directly that they're going to blow Venezuela up if they try to touch our oil and shiny rocks.
@Capresis https://www.reuters.com/world/biden-us-will-defend-every-inch-nato-territory-including-finland-2023-07-13/
This would need to be to count.
Just conducting military exercises is a hint in the geopolitical speech, but publicly committing is a totally different standard