Will any NATO country engage in military conflict with Russia in 2024? | Manifold

Will any NATO country engage in military conflict with Russia in 2024?

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How does this resolve if Russia claims a NATO country did, but the NATO country claims otherwise? E.g. they give weapons and expertise to Ukraine, but only as a special military operation rather than a direct conflict.

How would this resolve if Poland or Romania shot down a Russian missile or drone?

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Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2026?

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[Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

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Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?

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