Who will trump pardon in the first 100 days of his presidency? Resolves based on https://www.justice.gov/pardon/clemency-recipients. A commutation gets 50%.
In the event that a pardon is issued for an individual not listed who is part of a group that is listed, that will resolve YES unless otherwise specified, as they've been pardoned.
All members of a group must be pardoned for a group to resolve YES. If it's obviously that group, but with a conditional tacked on (e.g., "all Jan. 6th rioters with low-level drug offenses"), it resolves to 50%, just like a commutation (as would a conditional tacked onto a commutation).
In the event that a pardon is blocked, overturned, overruled, nullified, or otherwise stopped from taking effect for any reason, it'll have no effect on the resolution of this question - it'll still resolve YES.
1,000
1.00@ProjectVictory Not necessarily - he could pardon a group of them (such as "any january 6th protestor who didn't take a plea deal") and then pick off specific ones as well (such as a posthumous pardon for Ashli Babbitt)
@quadruple We don't actually know! That'll be a question for the Supreme Court if he tries it - but if he tries it, even if it fails, I'm resolving it YES
Well, it looks like Trump is going to be president again. What will he do in his first hundred days?