Will medicare cover semaglutide (or an alternative) in 2030? | Manifold

Will medicare cover semaglutide (or an alternative) in 2030?

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Creating markets for @ScottAlexander's predictions here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/semaglutidonomics

(all predictions are conditional on no singularity or global catastrophe)

#Weight loss drugs

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My doctor friend said this is "almost certain". And there are now new alternatives coming out that are supposed to be more powerful & easier to produce.

No global catastrophe? Even if the catastrophe does not take down this market?

How does this resolve if no medicare?

Will medicare cover semaglutide (or an alternative) in 2030?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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Related questions

Will semaglutide (or an alternative) cost less than $100/month (inflation-adjusted) without insurance in 2030?

Will 10 million Americans be on semaglutide (or yet-to-be-approved equally good or superior alternatives) by the end of 2030?

Will Ozempic / semaglutide be FDA-approved for Alzheimer's before 2030?

Will Semaglutide cost less than $1000 per year before 2031?

Will Semaglutide cost less than $1000 per year before 2030?

Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031?

Before 2033, will semaglutide be shown to improve lifespan, when prescribed to overweight people?

The FDA will warn about overuse or misuse of semaglutide (Ozempic, Wegovy and Rybelsus) before the end of 2024.

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Will Medicare or Medicaid cover weight loss drugs by 2029?

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