How many seats will Milei's La Libertad Avanza coalition gain in Argentina's 2025 national senate elections?
Mini
10
Ṁ16k
resolved Dec 13
100%49%
13
0.5%
≤ 6
0.5%
7
0.5%
8
0.6%
9
3%
10
5%
11
35%
12
5%
14
0.4%
≥ 15

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:

Hi everyone. Argentina's system for assigning seats is a bit more different and complicated than I thought it would be. For the purposes of resolving this market I used the net gain number (relative to the last election) most commonly reported. However, to be fair to all of you traders in my market, I must concede that I did not do the best job at clarifying my resolution criteria, so if you lost money in this market due to a misunderstanding and believe that you have a decent argument for why another number in which you made a bet should've resolved to YES, then send me a DM briefly articulating your case and I will make you a refund and perhaps a send some more depending on the strength of your argument. Thanks for betting in my market.

sold Ṁ1,500 ≥ 15 YES

@creator does gain mean relative to the last election or the total number of seats?