ELO of GPT-4.5 on LLM arena (1 month after release)
Plus
26
Ṁ8333Jan 12
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.3%
<=1233
0.6%
1233-1250
2%
1250-1275
12%
1275-1300
3%
1300-1325
81%
>1325
https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard
If GPT-4.5 never released for public usage resolves N/A
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
If gpt-5 is released I will N/A this question. If Sam says that there will not be 4.5 I will N/A. If there is new model and general view that this is gpt-5 despite being named differently I will N/A.
Yes, this makes it quite likely to N/A. I did not think that this would be the case when I created this question, but I think this way works the best for consistency reasons
@StephenMWalkerII If there is a credible source saying that it was supposed to be named 4.5 at some point then yes, otherwise no.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the next LLM released by OpenAI be worse than GPT-4 at MMLU?
16% chance
Will the GPT4+code-interpreter+search score > 1350 on Lmsys Arena Leaderboard?
49% chance
Will GPT 4.5/GPT 5 have 30 more elo on the LMSYS leaderboard a two weeks after it is released.
69% chance
Llama 3 405B ELO on Lmsys Arena Leaderboard 2 weeks after first appearance?
Will an open-source LLM beat or match GPT-4 by the end of 2024?
85% chance
Will GPT-5 score higher than 1350 on the Lmsys Arena Leaderboard
77% chance
Will GPT-4.5 top the LLMSys Chatbot Arena leaderboard within a month of its release?
78% chance
Will xAI release an LLM with BIG-Bench score as good as GPT-4 Turbo before the end of 2024?
77% chance
Will GPT-5 top the LLMSys Chatbot Arena leaderboard within a month of its release?
85% chance
Will any LLM outrank GPT-4 by 150 Elo in LMSYS chatbot arena before 2025?
20% chance