Will a moderator fix a resolution before the end of 2024 ?
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Plus
6
Ṁ742
Jan 31
69%
chance

A lot of questions with resolutions in our lifespan, or even at the end of the month are badly defined, nor have haphazardly resolution conditions.

This gives a lot of leeway to moderators, especially when the question was created by Partners/Moderators, and that the resolution can be quite plainly marked as unsolvable (due to inexisting resolution conditions on the author part).

While it's up to the Manifold user to do their due diligence to not bet low quality, highly "up-to-moderators" questions, I think this raises some interesting questions for the platform

Resolves to:
NO:

👉 at the end of 31/01/2025 no proof was given

YES
👉 before 31/01/2025 a proof was given

A proof can be:
👉 link to a question with a blatant proof of manipulation

👉 statistics about collusion between "Partners", "Holders" and "Moderation"
👉 un-doctored and privacy compliants screenshots of actual proof of manipulation

👉 blatant fraud

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Do you mean “fix” as in “correct” or “influence” ?

Also, ironically syntax is ambiguous / invalid when mentioning poorly defined resolution condition (please proofread).

Interpretation of « fix » is left as an exercise to the reader, I agree that’s it’s ambiguous

On a more serious note it’s « fix » as a bad actor

bought Ṁ250 YES

Definition of proof gives it more meaning indeed.

Does Hanlon’s razor apply ?

E.g if a mod fumbles a pred out of sheer incompetence or negligence (keyboard catcident), do you take it as a yes or unresolved ?

edit: ignore