Note: I modified the options for this one, turning "Fullscale archimedes test" into "None of the above". The original poll options seemed like they didn't cover the case of none of those milestones being achieved.
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full set of markets on this dashboard.
1,000
1.00They did the fullscale Archimedes test from the original poll https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240808926407/en/Rocket-Lab-Completes-Successful-First-Hot-Fire-of-Archimedes-Engine-for-Neutron-Rocket
But we're still in "None of the above" territory as this market is constructed.
@dp9000 The original options seemed underspecified in the case where none of the milestones were achieved. Updated the description to note this.