Will the Percentage of the US Population (Age >= 13) that is Trans Increase in the Next Williams Center Report?
Plus
13
Ṁ5602030
83%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In 2022, the Williams Center released a report about the number of people who identified as Trans in the United States. Using data from the CDC's Behavior Risk Factor Surveillance Survey, they concluded that .6% of the US population aged greater than 12 identified as transgender.
I will resolve this market yes if the next Williams Center demographic report on trans people finds that greater than .6% of the US population aged greater than 12 identified as transgender. I will resolve this market as no if the percentage is less than .6%. I will resolve this market N/A if the Williams Center never issues another report. (The last report before this one came out in 2016-2017.)
I will not bet in this market.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will it be illegal to be openly transgender in any part of the United States by 2030?
15% chance
Will the US Employment-Population ratio - 25-54 Yrs. break its record high before 2025?
21% chance
In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%?
50% chance
Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup?
38% chance
Before the end of 2035, will plurality become as common in the US as transgenderness was in 2022?
18% chance
One year from now, will the percentage that this question resolves YES (as shown by Manifold) be above 50%?
48% chance
Will the share of US adults saying gender is determined by sex at birth be reported by Pew to have grown since 2022?
78% chance
Will US college enrollment rates increase from 2021 to 2026?
27% chance
Will trans ideology lose power/popularity relative to other leftist causes by the beginning of 2028?
59% chance
Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?
72% chance