AI will run a $1bn+ outperforming market hedge fund by 2030 where I am 80% sure that AI is doing ~all functions | Manifold

AI will run a $1bn+ outperforming market hedge fund by 2030 where I am 80% sure that AI is doing ~all functions

Plus

22

Ṁ1268

2030

28%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The AI is doing everything except those things a human is legally required to do.

Resolves no otherwise.

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predicts NO

@JoeReeve suggested "will someone give an AI hedge fund $1bn"

What time horizon for the backwards-lookingness of 'outperforming'? Since inception?

It is not difficult to outperform market in one year or two. Till 2030 might not be a long enough track record to ask what you want.

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