Could prediction markets ever function as an early warning system for wars; and if so, what should policymakers and diplomats do with the information those markets provide?

Curious about what you plan to do with your hoard of data -- are you accumulating these insights to train a model?

What are relevant predictions you can make to the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict?

Why did Prighozhin abort his coup?

How can you forecast war in super-low information environments like Ethiopia and Myanmar?

Would you support something like the base rate times and pay them for conversions to your markets?

You should make a market: "will there be any attack from a NATO country against russia, including retaliation"

Do you think better graphics/dashboards would encourage people to be bet more/understand more

Surely it's more important to know if Ukraine cuts Russian ground lines in the land bridge, rather than severing it.

Isn't it really hard to get the actually most relevant question.