Will there be major breakthrough in LLM Continual Learning before 2026?

Will LLMs mostly overcome the Reversal Curse by the end of 2025?

Will a publicly-available LLM achieve gold on IMO before 2026?

Will an LLM do a task that the user hadn't requested in a notable way before 2026?

Will RL work for LLMs "spill over" to the rest of RL by 2026?

Will China have the best LLM by the end of 2025?

Will one of the major LLMs be capable of continual lifelong learning (learning from inference runs) by EOY 2025?

Will Apple release its own LLM on par with state of the art LLMs before 2026?

Will there be an LLM which scores above what a human can do in 2 hours on METR's eval suite before 2026?

LLM Hallucination: Will an LLM score >90% on SimpleQA before 2026?